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I love that we have been around for six years. Cause, among other things, we have five full years of data. This data allows me to tell you the
following with a lot of confidence:
In our previous five years, every franchise (except one, Mr. Josh Lukin) has started at least one season at 0-2. Only three teams have
done it more than once. Of the total of eighteen 0-2 starts, only four teams have turned their team around to make the playoffs. And of
those four, we actually have one team that took their turnaround all the way to become that years Champion (Navid in 2004 wound up 6-7
and squeaked into the playoffs).
Now, in every season there have been multiple 0-2 starts – as many as five teams in 2004, and as little as three in ’03, ’05, ’06 and now in ’
07. Right now, Nick is riding a three year 0-2 start streak (the only other current streak is Brian, who just entered his second 0-2 start). In
2005 Nick didn’t get his first win until Week 5 (but still managed to make the playoffs) and in ’06 he didn’t pop his W till Week 6.
Also, the Toilet Bowl: Every Toilet Bowl winner has started the season 0-2, with the exception of one. The only one team to win the Toilet
Bowl WITHOUT starting 0-2: Me. In 2003, I won my first game… and then dropped 8 in a row.
What about the flip side? Believe it or not, three franchises have never started 2-0. This year Lukin finally popped his 2-0 cherry as he
enjoys his first perfect start. Now this is not surprising: Of the total of eighteen 2-0 starts, 13 teams made it to the playoffs. Ah, but how
many have won the Championship? None.
The point here: You can start 0-2 and still make the playoffs, and even win the Championship. You can start out 2-0 and not make the
playoffs. But in both cases, the odds are against you. And let’s be honest… how f’ing cool is it that we have odds!!!??!
Here we go into Week 2:
TOILET BOWL IS WEIGHING HEAVILY ON RANDOM
Sorry Brian. I know it sucks, I really do. You see, down by just 0.5 going into Monday Night, Brian only needed one TD from Reggie Brown
and for the game to end after that. But Brown only did a little (3 or so points), while my Monday Night player – kicker David Akers – scored
all of the Eagles points, allowing me to collect 12 additional ones myself. That just sucks and a painful loss. Very sorry man. BUT… Very
happy for me. Glad that I can now smile and say that I won’t be the first to go winless in a ROFF season (its bound to happen one year
gentlemen… get used to it. I’m thinking that we’ll have to add a gold plaque to the Toilet Bowl for that one).
HORSES SNAP 0-2 STREAK AT 2 YEARS. WILL PLAYOFF DROUGHT BE SNAPPED TOO?
Man, Monday Night was a bitch. Seriously. Cantor was rocking an 8-point lead going into Monday. Then his Philly D takes the field and it’s
a cool 18-point lead. All the Eagles have to do avoid the run game and stay tough defensively. And it looked like they might; holding the
Skins to just 3 points in the first quarter and Westbrook contained. Then McNabb started to throw some short outs. Again. And again. And
again. 8 catches and a total of 150 yards later, Westbrook had 18 points. Tack on my Akers 12 and the Eagles D lost their 10. And we
have another MNF victim as Cantor suffer his first loss of the season and gives Parker his first. Talk about “Horse Trailer Player of the
Game.” Wait, do they even do that anymore? NAYYYY!
BANDITS DOMINATE AGAIN
Whew! Brock is FINALLY cooling off. After a 146-point performance in week 1, he was only able to scrounge up a mere 144 this week…
WHAT!? Are you kidding me? His team is amazing – Edge is better than expected, Rudi is better than expected (at least on that team this
year). And Tom Brady was the greatest thing to happen to Randy Moss since he opened that juice stand. It’s such a shame for Dave who
had a solid week thanks to Johnson’s 27 (although that may be the last we hear from him for a while), Barber’s 22 and Heap’s 18 (why the F
did I take Gonzalez over him?!). And - Oh F! I have to play Brock next week!? Why couldn’t I get him on a “bye-heavy” week!?
FFFFFFFFFFF!
SLOW START (AGAIN) FOR NICK; FAST START (AGAIN) FOR JOSH
As previously stated, Nick doesn’t often start the season great. That’s why he should – and does – get kudos for his great
management/coaching skills. In fact, he has historically won 62% of his games AFTER week 6. He may not draft the best team, but he
knows how to make solid mid-season adjustments (must be all that early morning football watching). On the flip side, Josh has terrific early
season stats: He has won 63% of the games he has played between weeks 1 thru 6. So why should we break from tradition? Nick saw
some solid numbers from Vince “I’m Not Hurt Yet” Young (18) and the Caddy finally got into the end zone (16). But the game breaker was
Carson Palmer. Projected to get 19 against the Browns, he exploded for 51. Guess that’s what happens when the other team has no
defense… and your team’s lack of defense makes you go to the air a lot.
TANKS IN TOILET FOR SECOND WEEK IN A ROW
I had lunch with Scott today. I told him that Sherman didn’t seem worried about his team… but that I secretly was. Ok, so Tomlinson is going
to explode at some point, I agree. But what about everyone else? The Carolina D couldn’t hold on to 10 points against Houston? Crayton in
Dallas isn’t going to last (and isn’t doing much). Can Brees bounce back? I’m hoping Sherm be fine long term, but he might want to invest in
a ticket to San Diego and personally give LT a kick in the ass. Not that I should be talking about this to Scott. Had he played anyone else
this week, he’d be the one riding a 0-2 streak. He was fortunate that Delhomme had a big day and that Moss/Portis were able to contribute
on Monday night. But Scott has some “cross-the-fingers and hope” players, too, with Henderson (come on NOLA!), Jones-Drew and the
Cinncy D (disaster). Can’t be this bad for that much longer… right?
BORN BREAKS 130… AND LOSSES
Rich makes me so happy because he has a BlackBerry and we are able to BlackBerry IM each other. Of course that just means I can get
messages - like the one I received on Monday night - a little quicker. The text read: “F!” This was followed by a TD catch from Chris
Cooley. Which was followed by a text that read: “Great, now I don’t need to watch the game anymore.” Yes, with just Cooley to go Monday
night (F MNF!), Kiss was nursing a 6-point lead and hoping for Cooley to do just that: Be Cool. It sucks to get 136… and lose. But Kiss
proved to us that his team isn’t a fluke with strong showings from Romo (22), Housh (who stole a TD and 24 points) and
Alexander/McGahee (27). But it was No-Mo-Nomads who stole the show. The bounce back game was big for Sadri who saw enormous
games from Braylon Edwards (another Cle\Cin success story) and Frank Gore (19). If he can get Johnson back on track (he’s still a little
cold from his greedy ass hold out), and Roeth continues to be killer, Nomads may be officially back from the dead.
CRABS BITE OFF NOSE
Ok, I’m being serious now: You keep this up, Gregg, and go on to win ROFF Bowl VI, then I’m going to personally call BJ Surhoff and see if
he’ll come to AC to personally present you with the trophy next summer. Seriously. The man we all wrote off draft day was the top scorer of
the week thanks to the blood bath in Cleveland. Benefiting from the bath was Chad Johnson (37) and Jamal Lewis (20). Crabs just added
on the Denver D’s beat down of Josh McCown (21) and Manning’s standard 18 for sport. Blass didn’t have a bad game, but saw 30% of the
points come from Steve Smith (36) and I’m not sure how much you can count on that week-to-week. But if it works Jarrett, I make no
promises about BJ Surhoff.
Best of luck to everyone this week.
Swami, off to his worst start ever with another pathetic showing this week (2-5), will be have predictions entered by the Saturday night
following with a lot of confidence:
In our previous five years, every franchise (except one, Mr. Josh Lukin) has started at least one season at 0-2. Only three teams have
done it more than once. Of the total of eighteen 0-2 starts, only four teams have turned their team around to make the playoffs. And of
those four, we actually have one team that took their turnaround all the way to become that years Champion (Navid in 2004 wound up 6-7
and squeaked into the playoffs).
Now, in every season there have been multiple 0-2 starts – as many as five teams in 2004, and as little as three in ’03, ’05, ’06 and now in ’
07. Right now, Nick is riding a three year 0-2 start streak (the only other current streak is Brian, who just entered his second 0-2 start). In
2005 Nick didn’t get his first win until Week 5 (but still managed to make the playoffs) and in ’06 he didn’t pop his W till Week 6.
Also, the Toilet Bowl: Every Toilet Bowl winner has started the season 0-2, with the exception of one. The only one team to win the Toilet
Bowl WITHOUT starting 0-2: Me. In 2003, I won my first game… and then dropped 8 in a row.
What about the flip side? Believe it or not, three franchises have never started 2-0. This year Lukin finally popped his 2-0 cherry as he
enjoys his first perfect start. Now this is not surprising: Of the total of eighteen 2-0 starts, 13 teams made it to the playoffs. Ah, but how
many have won the Championship? None.
The point here: You can start 0-2 and still make the playoffs, and even win the Championship. You can start out 2-0 and not make the
playoffs. But in both cases, the odds are against you. And let’s be honest… how f’ing cool is it that we have odds!!!??!
Here we go into Week 2:
TOILET BOWL IS WEIGHING HEAVILY ON RANDOM
Sorry Brian. I know it sucks, I really do. You see, down by just 0.5 going into Monday Night, Brian only needed one TD from Reggie Brown
and for the game to end after that. But Brown only did a little (3 or so points), while my Monday Night player – kicker David Akers – scored
all of the Eagles points, allowing me to collect 12 additional ones myself. That just sucks and a painful loss. Very sorry man. BUT… Very
happy for me. Glad that I can now smile and say that I won’t be the first to go winless in a ROFF season (its bound to happen one year
gentlemen… get used to it. I’m thinking that we’ll have to add a gold plaque to the Toilet Bowl for that one).
HORSES SNAP 0-2 STREAK AT 2 YEARS. WILL PLAYOFF DROUGHT BE SNAPPED TOO?
Man, Monday Night was a bitch. Seriously. Cantor was rocking an 8-point lead going into Monday. Then his Philly D takes the field and it’s
a cool 18-point lead. All the Eagles have to do avoid the run game and stay tough defensively. And it looked like they might; holding the
Skins to just 3 points in the first quarter and Westbrook contained. Then McNabb started to throw some short outs. Again. And again. And
again. 8 catches and a total of 150 yards later, Westbrook had 18 points. Tack on my Akers 12 and the Eagles D lost their 10. And we
have another MNF victim as Cantor suffer his first loss of the season and gives Parker his first. Talk about “Horse Trailer Player of the
Game.” Wait, do they even do that anymore? NAYYYY!
BANDITS DOMINATE AGAIN
Whew! Brock is FINALLY cooling off. After a 146-point performance in week 1, he was only able to scrounge up a mere 144 this week…
WHAT!? Are you kidding me? His team is amazing – Edge is better than expected, Rudi is better than expected (at least on that team this
year). And Tom Brady was the greatest thing to happen to Randy Moss since he opened that juice stand. It’s such a shame for Dave who
had a solid week thanks to Johnson’s 27 (although that may be the last we hear from him for a while), Barber’s 22 and Heap’s 18 (why the F
did I take Gonzalez over him?!). And - Oh F! I have to play Brock next week!? Why couldn’t I get him on a “bye-heavy” week!?
FFFFFFFFFFF!
SLOW START (AGAIN) FOR NICK; FAST START (AGAIN) FOR JOSH
As previously stated, Nick doesn’t often start the season great. That’s why he should – and does – get kudos for his great
management/coaching skills. In fact, he has historically won 62% of his games AFTER week 6. He may not draft the best team, but he
knows how to make solid mid-season adjustments (must be all that early morning football watching). On the flip side, Josh has terrific early
season stats: He has won 63% of the games he has played between weeks 1 thru 6. So why should we break from tradition? Nick saw
some solid numbers from Vince “I’m Not Hurt Yet” Young (18) and the Caddy finally got into the end zone (16). But the game breaker was
Carson Palmer. Projected to get 19 against the Browns, he exploded for 51. Guess that’s what happens when the other team has no
defense… and your team’s lack of defense makes you go to the air a lot.
TANKS IN TOILET FOR SECOND WEEK IN A ROW
I had lunch with Scott today. I told him that Sherman didn’t seem worried about his team… but that I secretly was. Ok, so Tomlinson is going
to explode at some point, I agree. But what about everyone else? The Carolina D couldn’t hold on to 10 points against Houston? Crayton in
Dallas isn’t going to last (and isn’t doing much). Can Brees bounce back? I’m hoping Sherm be fine long term, but he might want to invest in
a ticket to San Diego and personally give LT a kick in the ass. Not that I should be talking about this to Scott. Had he played anyone else
this week, he’d be the one riding a 0-2 streak. He was fortunate that Delhomme had a big day and that Moss/Portis were able to contribute
on Monday night. But Scott has some “cross-the-fingers and hope” players, too, with Henderson (come on NOLA!), Jones-Drew and the
Cinncy D (disaster). Can’t be this bad for that much longer… right?
BORN BREAKS 130… AND LOSSES
Rich makes me so happy because he has a BlackBerry and we are able to BlackBerry IM each other. Of course that just means I can get
messages - like the one I received on Monday night - a little quicker. The text read: “F!” This was followed by a TD catch from Chris
Cooley. Which was followed by a text that read: “Great, now I don’t need to watch the game anymore.” Yes, with just Cooley to go Monday
night (F MNF!), Kiss was nursing a 6-point lead and hoping for Cooley to do just that: Be Cool. It sucks to get 136… and lose. But Kiss
proved to us that his team isn’t a fluke with strong showings from Romo (22), Housh (who stole a TD and 24 points) and
Alexander/McGahee (27). But it was No-Mo-Nomads who stole the show. The bounce back game was big for Sadri who saw enormous
games from Braylon Edwards (another Cle\Cin success story) and Frank Gore (19). If he can get Johnson back on track (he’s still a little
cold from his greedy ass hold out), and Roeth continues to be killer, Nomads may be officially back from the dead.
CRABS BITE OFF NOSE
Ok, I’m being serious now: You keep this up, Gregg, and go on to win ROFF Bowl VI, then I’m going to personally call BJ Surhoff and see if
he’ll come to AC to personally present you with the trophy next summer. Seriously. The man we all wrote off draft day was the top scorer of
the week thanks to the blood bath in Cleveland. Benefiting from the bath was Chad Johnson (37) and Jamal Lewis (20). Crabs just added
on the Denver D’s beat down of Josh McCown (21) and Manning’s standard 18 for sport. Blass didn’t have a bad game, but saw 30% of the
points come from Steve Smith (36) and I’m not sure how much you can count on that week-to-week. But if it works Jarrett, I make no
promises about BJ Surhoff.
Best of luck to everyone this week.
Swami, off to his worst start ever with another pathetic showing this week (2-5), will be have predictions entered by the Saturday night